Is Bill Gates
a Genius?
A history of Microsoft successes...
by: David K. Every Sep 20, 2002
I've heard it 10,000 times. Someone in a store or a party talking about
how Bill Gates is a Genius, and how that lead to Microsoft's success. If I hear
it one more time, I'm going to have to start dishing out the wedgie of death;
turning one person into two, by tugging really hard on their undergarments!
I know, I know -- because I don't want to kiss Bill Gates ring, I am some biased
Microsoft hater or Gates basher. Honestly, I don't like a lot of things that
Microsoft does, but they are just a Company. I can't say I admire how they've
always operated. I'm one of those weird people who think that the ends doesn't
justify the means, and how you play is as important is if you win. But honestly,
there are worse evils in the world than Microsoft.
Just because you are successful doesn't mean you are smart (or THAT smart).
Let's start at the beginning of personal computers.
In the Beginning
A bunch of geeks got interested in computers because they were fun,
and they didn't have much of a social life. Many of these people were sharp
-- but not THAT sharp. They geeked around and played with electronics and computer
BECAUSE THEY LIKED IT! Now some of these people happened to be in the right
place at the right time, and had the wisdom to take advantage of it. Let's not
pretend these guys were that insightful! They were doing what they enjoyed,
and it just happened to be in an industry that took off. This has happened in
the past with cars, planes, the industrial revolution, ad infinitum. If you
are at the right place at the right time, and you aren't stupid, you can succeed.
Bill Gates was one of these. He was lucky, had connections (and wealthy parents),
and happened to be in the right places at the right time. Oh, yeah, and he wasn't
stupid either, and took advantage of opportunity.
The 70's
Bill Gates (after dropping out of college) and a friend (Paul Allen)
started making software (Mid 70's). They had a few nothing projects to make
pocket change, and then stumbled on one that made them more. They saw this proto
home computer kit (the Altair from MITS), and they decided that BASIC would
be perfect for it. BASIC was a language that had been around for years, and
made computers easier to program than programming the machine code. So they
stole computer time from a College (you aren't supposed to use University resources
for private commercial projects), and they reworked some stolen (er, borrowed)
BASIC code (you aren't supposed to sell things derived from public domain code).
So the ethics were a little shaky, but they ethics never got in the way of Microsoft's
business.
Before this time, most commercial software wasm written under contract
for big businesses and mainframe and minicomputers, so writing software for
Microcomputers was a bit of a risk. If Gates had been really smart, they could
have made a fortune by programming professionally for others. But Gates and
Allen didn't fit the corporate mold, and more wanted to play on their own things
than be smart and make good money. But Micros took off, and they happened to
be there. This was probably more ego or for fun than insight or business sense.
Don't get me wrong, people knew that Micros were going to have some business;
but no one knew they were going to take off like they did. It is also easier
to take risks like this, when you are a College kid with no overhead, and living
off of Mommy and Daddy.
Computers weren't mainstream yet -- so writing thislanguage was not about money
it was fun. They got some prestige
in the geek circles, and they made a few bucks, but were not exactly wildly
successful -- just college kids playing big-shots.
Bill Gates made some major mistakes, and managed to piss off most of
his market when he and MITS charged more for the language than the computer
itself cost. This pissed many off, that they started pirating Gates BASIC, and
they started fixing the many bugs in it, and adding features. Soon the pirated
versions were better than the 'for sale' one.
Gates threw a fit, and wrote a letter than called all the people improving
his product thieves for stealing his software. The irony was lost on Bill, who
had borrowed the software he was selling, as he had the computer time he'd built
it on. This tirade pissed off his customers, and last time I checked, knowing
your market would be a part of being a "marketing genius" that Gates
is credited with, but I digress.
BASIC was better than programming in assembly language, so they had some sort
of business going and that was the beginning of Microsoft. Once they had some
market, they immediately made their BASIC non-standard, and kept adding incompatibilities
with the standard. That way code written for Microsoft's BASIC wouldn't run
on anything else.
Gates thought Languages were cool and was going to be where the money
was. So they produced a couple (mainly flavors of BASIC for different machines).
They sold OK, but their BASIC never really followed the standards -- but when
you are the only game in town (as they often were), even bad implementations
would sell. So part of Microsoft's early genius was just that there was little
or no competition for languages in Micros.
Gates was smart enough to be ruthless though. When someone would offer any language,
he'd drop the price of his, or do anything to "get the business",
until he starved them out. Then he'd raise the price back up again. He seemed
to have an ego problem where he had to win, no matter how little business sense
it made. Luckily for him, he was able to starve out all the small fry's before
he went bankrupt; but in most markets, that is not a practical business plan.
Microsoft continued to grow.
There weren't many commercial applications back then, and so people
had to program to make things useful; and so there was a demand for BASIC. And
soon, Microsoft was licensing their BASIC to computer makers as a "must
have". These royalties paid the bills (pun intended). Even back then, the
big money was Applications; something Bill (and Microsoft) didn't learn for
nearly a decade.
So after 6 years of having a Software Business that was puttering along, in an industry where Millionaires were being made daily, Microsoft (and Bill Gates) got their big break. Notice that Microsoft was not a huge Company (going in to 1980) -- Apple had far outgrown them (in less time), as had many others. Up to this point in time, there doesn't seem to be any Genius or Magic to Microsoft or Bill Gates. Then the fortune of the company changed.
Things Will never be tha same again in the 80's
Mary Gates (Bill's Mom) and a high level Executive at IBM (Akers) were
chatting (they were both involved in the United Way), and it became known that
IBM was looking at getting into the Microcomputer business. Well one thing lead
to another, and Bill got a visit from IBM. And IBM chose a product that Bill
didn't even have, and gave him an awesome contract. This is another big secret
to success -- be born into the right family, and get the right contacts. Some
call it genius -- I guess it takes a smart kid to pick the right parents.
IBM left their brains back in Boca Raton Florida when negotiating a
deal with Bill Gates for their Disk Operating System (DOS). Bill Gates didn't
even have a DOS, but he convinced IBM he was almost finished with one. (Another
element of business Genius seems to be being a pathological liar). Perhaps it
had something to do with the President of IBM telling the small team creating
the PC to "see Mary Gates son Bill" that influenced them to be blind.
Or that IBM had just gotten out of a huge lawsuit with the Department of Justice
about being a monopoly, and so they wanted to outsource something. Or that IBM
didn't think that Microcomputers were going anywhere, and they wanted to make
a lame one to try to sell more mainframes. But for whatever reasons, they made
a deal where they'd license DOS from Bill, but Bill got to keep the rights to
everything and sell it to anyone else he wanted. So another secret to success
if find a rich (but dumb) sugar Daddy that's willing to finance you, pay you
to develop a product for yourself, and let you borrow the biggest name in the
business (IBM's) for your own success.
Microsoft then bought DOS off someone else (Seattle Computings' Quick-and-Dirty
OS, QDOS). This product was actually a cheap rip-off (clone) product of a friend
of Gates (Gary Kildalls' CP/M), and Bill knew it. They had actually had a gentlemen's
agreement; that Bill Gates wouldn't do Operating Systems, and Gary Kildall wouldn't
do languages. Also Seattle Computing was mislead on the value of the contract,
and the intent of it's usage, and sold cheap for $50,000 (a fraction of what
it was worth). But therein lies another part of Genius; the lack of integrity/scruples,
and stumbling on multiple opportunities.
Gary Kildall was quite offended by the whole ordeal. Imagine Gary's surprise when Gates not only did an OS, but it was really a poorly ripped-off copy of his own OS. Once again, Microsoft lacked the imagination to write their own OS or think of anything new. Why should they, when they could just steal someone else's code? Then, Microsoft continually evolved things to be different and incompatible with the standard they'd borrowed from; just like they had with BASIC.
Do you notice a patterns?
There were better Operating Systems out there for micros before DOS, and IBM
ignored that. I still think they wanted the "lame" thing to not compete
with their big iron. And there were better Operating Systems while IBM was selling
DOS on their PC's. But IBM really only leant their name (enthusiasm) to PC-DOS
(Microsoft IBM labeled version), which starved out all the competition except
Microsoft (since they were the only one compatible); and guaranteed Bill's success.
Then IBM continued to pay Microsoft for improvements, that Microsoft repeatedly
delivered late, if at all, and most were buggy; but Microsoft got to sell in
their own product.
As they used to say, "no one ever got fired for buying IBM".
The "Killer App"
Around the same time as IBM was getting into the microcomputer business,
a guy, named Dan Bricklin, created VisiCalc; the world's first "Killer
App". VisiCalc was the first spreadsheet for computers. Basically a spreadsheet
allowed for business people to lay out numbers into columns and make the computer
add them up for you, enabling it to do all sorts of wonderful things (for accountants
and business people). It was just a common sense version of an electronic ledger
or columnar sheet. But VisiCalc was so popular, that it not only sold itself
by the tons, but people bought computers (Apple]['s) just to run VisiCalc on.
VisiCalc revolutionized Microcomputers and brought them from hobby devices into
many more businesses and far more homes -- and seriously contributed to the
success of Apple.
Not only did Bill Gates not invent this revolution, but Dan Bricklin
went to Microsoft (Bill Gates), as well as Apple Computers, and asked them to
sell the package for him. Gates didn't think it would sell. At least Apple had
a lame excuse; they were in the hardware business; but Bill sold software. You
seldom hear that Bill Gates turned down what was the most revolutionary Application
in the history of Microcomputers.
Why innovate when you can steal?
Later Microsoft ripped off the design and undercut the VisiCalc (and the copies
of it), using the profits from DOS and Languages to subsidize himself and starve
out everyone else. Sadly, they did this because Apple asked them to, and gave
them computers and help to break into the Application market. Apple did this
because they wanted support for their new computer (the Macintosh), and Apple
didn't want to compete with their software developers. Microsoft had a big name,
and it leant credibility, and seemed like a good idea at the time. (Did I mention
silly partners seems to be a secret of Microsoft success?).
Eventually, Microsofts rip-off of VisiCalc (first named Multiplan,
and later renamed to Excel) became the only man left standing. Oh, and at first,
Multiplan was compatible with everything else. Over time, it became more proprietary
and non-standard. (Think of patterns). Also Microsoft started a new pattern,
tying. They had started tying sales of DOS to licensing their BASIC, both to
the sale of new hardware (to get DOS you had to sell it on every computer you
made), and their version of Multiplan (or Excel) to their Word Processor, and
so on. They would use their proven products in one market to wedge their new
products into the market and drive everyone else. This is not a new trick, it
was one of the things our Anti-Trust (Anti-Monopoly) laws had been written to
stop, nearly 100 years earlier.
The genius of Microsoft was their business plan: let someone innovate (and take the risks), then rip them off. Microsoft used their size, money and unfair advantages from the start, to bully others out of business. They were never better, just bigger. And that was something a lot of people didn't realize, just because Microsoft could do it, doesn't mean you could follow it; unless you had their resources, which no one else had.
More Money,More Money,More Money...
IBM obviously felt the problem was that they weren't paying Microsoft
enough -- so they then got involved with Microsoft to make a "Windowing"
Operating System (Called OS/2) -- to make the PC's more like the Mac. Over the
next 10 years, IBM gave Microsoft BILLIONS of dollars to develop software for...
Microsoft.
Note: I didn't say that they paid Microsoft to write software for IBM.
IBM once again had agreements where Microsoft would get to keep whatever code
they created, but at least this time IBM got the code as well. Since Microsoft
kept most of the people that wrote the code, they were the ones that could effectively
use it (support it). On top of that, Microsoft also pulled some fast ones, where
some of the code they kept as "theirs" and they kept using the profits
(from writing stuff for IBM), to add in their own features to their own version
of OS/2 (called Windows) that IBM couldn't touch.
The real hero of Microsoft was their lawyers, and the complete stupidity
of IBM's lawyers and negotiators. In the end this one way deal -- a way for
Microsoft to get Billions of Dollars, and get to use the IBM name -- and IBM
got, almost nothing (except mediocre code and the opportunity to make another
company's executives rich).
Now I cut Microsoft a little slack there; it wasn't their fault that
IBM was stupid. And some things aren't as bad as they sound. Microsoft kept
two projects; Windows and OS/2. And many of the reasons that OS/2 was late and
slow was because it was being done by IBM (who was always slow), compounded
by two companies trying to collaborate (which usually makes things worse). But
Microsoft could and did cherry pick the best people for their own project, and
the best code, and so on. And they weren't innocent in delaying OS/2 in favor
of their own, and stabbing IBM in the back to guarantee their own success; can
you say "conflict of interest"? IBM didn't.
Needless to say, Microsoft grew tremendously in the 80's. Billions of Dollars and IBM's name has always a recipe for success. Is there Genius in getting a cushy deal and riding on someone else's coattails?
More Secrets To Success
Microsoft (Bill Gates) did magnify their success in a variety of ways.
They were known to hire lots of high-school kids and pay them dirt to write
code - then beat them into the ground. If you got kids working for you before
they worked anywhere else, they didn't know any better. Of course the few that
survived in that hacking environment (not engineering) got stock options and
became tyrannical immature millionaires, that thought that was how business
is supposed to be done. So a corporate culture was created in the spirit of
the Lord of the Flies.
Microsoft then relentlessly used its position as keeper of the OS,
as a way to destroy any competition -- it wasn't about being the best, it was
about being the only game in town (and making sure of it). Whenever Microsoft
needed to gain market share in the Application Market (where the real money
started to come from) -- they would come out with a new version of the OS, that
would "accidentally" break everyone else's Applications, but somehow,
Microsoft Apps would always work and take advantage of the newest features (and
undocumented ones built into the Operating System itself). I guess there is
Genius in illegally using your position in one market to drive people out of
that and other markets?
Microsoft even pulled the greatest scams of all times -- they convinced
the entire industry that OS/2 was the future of IBM, Microsoft (and all computers).
Then when all the competition was committed to making Apps for OS/2, Microsoft
came out with Windows 3.0, and had all their apps working for that (and started
saying how OS/2 was dead, and Windows was the real future). In the time it took
the competition to rewrite Apps for Windows, Microsoft had already captured
most of the Application market.
Microsoft claims the deception was all just an accident. And to be fair, to a small point it was. But it was not like they didn't know that writing Applications for Windows would guarantee its success, or that they didn't think pulling an end run would hurt IBM or OS/2. So it was either an evil plot (and fraud) or an accident, and neither of those is genius and planning.
Conclusion
Microsoft would later distribute their Apps with their OS, and make
it conditional that if you wanted their OS, then you had to take their Applications
as well. Further killing the competition. This succeeded too, but only through
means that would embarrass a Rockefeller. So Microsoft was not so much brilliant,
as it was unscrupulous. Some of the events were by accident (they certainly
didn't want to break up with IBM and lose the OS/2, as long as they had such
a wonderfully parasitic relationship), some by design. But they didn't care
about ethics, they cared about winning - and the thing that enabled them to
win was always their size, IBM's name, and later their own name.
Microsoft didn't win because of good products -- their products were never that
good; but they weren't that bad either.
They didn't win because of brilliant marketing; their marketing wasn't
that good. They didn't win because of any ability to see the future or anticipate
markets; remember things like Bob, the first two versions of Windows, passing
on major markets like VisiCalc, Databases, and so on. Mostly Microsoft followed
others, then used their size and name to force the others out. They basically
just won because they could afford to, because IBM was paying their way. By
the time IBM finally caught on to this, and broke off the relationship, it was
the 90's, and IBM had paid to develop DOS, Windows, most of Microsoft's Applications,
and for the creation of WindowsNT -- and turned a small software company into
the "evil empire" that we all know and love.
I know that people worship success. Fine. But lets not call it Genius
-- it is a combination of luck (timing) and connections. Bill Gates, Paul Allen,
and many others in Microsoft did create a Multi-Billion Dollar Company. Bill
Gates is sharp, and was a ruthless, slightly insecure opportunist, that happened
to be in the right place at the right time with the right family. But the catch
is who couldn't have succeeded with Billions of IBM's Dollars, and getting to
use IBM's name for over a decade?
I am sure there are many people that couldn't have made Microsoft AS
successful as Bill Gates did. Gates is not stupid, and did quite well. However,
I doubt there are many people that could have failed with Billions of Dollars
and IBM's reputation. I am just as sure that there are many many other people
that could have made Microsoft a far more successful company than Gates did,
and without as being as amoral as he was (or his company was). So where is the
genius?
So next time someone starts to talk publicly about Bill Gates Genius, give them this URL, and ask them to read it before they cram their foot in their mouths any further. You never know when some crazed geek is hiding around the corner ready to give them the wedgie of death!Many people have a thing against people (Bill Gates) because of their money -- that is stupid! Why resent people over that? Bill Gates (Microsoft) has employed tens of thousands of people (directly and indirectly) -- so I could care less how rich he is. I wish him, and his company all the best (financially). I just refuse to let people forget how they got where they are, and what they did along the way. My problems with Microsoft have always been based on their actions, and how many people that got hurt along the way.
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